Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeaad6789df7f0992797eb5a8312c9e5886e6aceb46f82671dfa84250c521eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joburg Super Kingsof Pretoria Capitals, Joburg Super Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Joburg Super Kings | 52c | 4,275$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Pretoria Capitals | 55c | 4,013$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.04 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Pretoria Capitals | 63c | 944.84$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.59 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pretoria Capitals | 3c | 930$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Joburg Super Kings | 50c | 686.21$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Joburg Super Kings | 52c | 668.51$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 416.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 414.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 402.07$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Joburg Super Kings | 41c | 399.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 50c | 324.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Joburg Super Kings | 25c | 300$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Joburg Super Kings | 76c | 271.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Pretoria Capitals | 15c | 201.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Joburg Super Kings | 36c | 151.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joburg Super Kings | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…4d56backed Pretoria Capitals | 12c | 144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joburg Super Kings | 74c | 143.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pretoria Capitals | 61c | 135.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Joburg Super Kings | 41c | 118.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Pretoria Capitals | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…2fd9backed Pretoria Capitals | 16c | 70.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Joburg Super Kings | 36c | 69.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Pretoria Capitals | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Pretoria Capitals | 63c | 47.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 27.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Pretoria Capitals | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)this page
- SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1) - Completed match?Yes won
- SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Pretoria Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.