Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64492ec8a15b36d84af1dd04134db4e4cb5ba369b1e6cafb20bc753f68ea8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 16,910$11,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.82 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 10c | 12,500$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.05 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 31c | 10,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 8,184$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.51 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 31c | 7,498$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.39 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 69c | 5,680$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 5,299$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.73 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 4,201$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.25 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 3,837$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.96 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 33c | 3,833$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.62 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 3,792$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.25 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 35c | 3,043$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 2,606$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 9c | 2,341$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 1,950$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 32c | 1,795$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.3 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,525$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.98 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Yes | 17c | 1,445$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 27c | 1,362$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 1,300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 5c | 1,286$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 31c | 1,231$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.89 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 32c | 786.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 784.04$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 559$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 31c | 521.92$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…d7fabacked Yes | 13c | 512.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 31c | 503.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 31c | 485$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 70c | 462.72$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 31c | 451.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 68c | 426$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 27c | 392.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…ac93backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 68c | 299.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 32c | 299.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 293.35$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked No | 70c | 291.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 12c | 287.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…f1afbacked Yes | 26c | 272$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Yes | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…1a28backed No | 74c | 270.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 70c | 268.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 7c | 267.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 32c | 235.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Yes | 29c | 227.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 32c | 215.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…10a3backed Yes | 25c | 202.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 69c | 198.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 68c | 195.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…6948backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 68c | 187.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 32c | 181.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 15c | 178.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 30c | 169.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 155.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 27c | 144.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 140.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 31c | 118.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 21c | 111.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 34c | 101.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8a11backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…a510backed No | 66c | 86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.