TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes30c15,710$4,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.143141.9%13 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No71c9,628$6,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.155736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c4,874$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.2568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No71c4,081$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.584658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c4,047$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c2,766$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.191,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c2,618$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.1648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c1,576$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c1,335$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.52,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes29c1,022$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.313948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No71c1,014$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.068058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c980$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.424939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c930.24$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes3c890.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes22c889.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c881.57$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No71c800$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c634.79$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No75c629.71$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.434656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No70c626.55$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9613639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf3…6052backed No71c508.45$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes21c504.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No72c454$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c451.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f57…7298backed No71c445.07$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes21c414.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.153633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…20f7backed No71c380.28$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.28366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No69c349.25$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.482860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c348$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes31c323.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No70c308.24$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.479556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9015357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8723353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x108c…1691backed No71c259.15$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…6022backed No71c253.52$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked No69c238.33$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.882369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No70c214$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes7c207.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes6c201.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9317529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e79…ed46backed No71c187.32$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.323100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c187.13$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c186.47$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7629862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x53bf…70d9backed No71c183.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No68c175$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.953060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes30c171.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.424825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes30c165$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.519652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…2808backed No71c163.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc9f…f2bbbacked No71c160.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes22c140.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.441822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-63%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c125$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.823353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked No67c118.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.062075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Yes30c117$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a94…0f59backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334050%20 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes30c103.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes31c97.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c86.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205855.2%32 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06b…d793backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No70c65.51$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes30c63.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked No71c60.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…c6cdbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c58.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5426046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes30c58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe7…6ab1backed No71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed No71c52.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20b…502cbacked No72c51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e9…bf38backed No71c50.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8332150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e74…32c3backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+53.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No76c48.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3915045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Yes32c47.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca0e…4babbacked Yes30c43.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a51…14bfbacked No71c36.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344c…4eb5backed No71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Yes29c34.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No70c34.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.