UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6808a33f2c020a5603d0cffec249c207a520fdeff12d499f0b1bb914a554ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Volkanovskiof Volkanovski, Lopes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,853,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,134,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,853,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,758 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 724,005$423,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,080.63 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Volkanovski | 60c | 501,778$298,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,961.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lopes | 41c | 500,000$203,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,749.99 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Volkanovski | 59c | 338,998$200,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,989.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lopes | 41c | 241,401$99,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,874.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lopes | 42c | 239,700$100,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,416.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lopes | 42c | 224,000$94,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,080 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lopes | 41c | 217,696$89,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,129.7 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Lopes | 41c | 199,999$81,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,999.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Volkanovski | 61c | 177,738$108,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,472.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Lopes | 42c | 168,378$71,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Volkanovski | 58c | 163,140$94,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,700.12 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Volkanovski | 58c | 135,496$77,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,508.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Volkanovski | 59c | 131,943$78,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,624.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lopes | 41c | 118,742$48,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,339.73 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Volkanovski | 60c | 116,667$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,666.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Lopes | 40c | 99,996$40,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,198.58 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Volkanovski | 60c | 90,250$53,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,530.1 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lopes | 42c | 89,681$37,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,976.93 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Lopes | 42c | 71,428$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lopes | 9c | 64,734$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.88 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Volkanovski | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,499.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lopes | 43c | 49,999$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.77 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…f189backed Lopes | 45c | 49,581$22,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,498.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Lopes | 14c | 49,163$6,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,938.54 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lopes | 41c | 48,756$19,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,990 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Volkanovski | 57c | 45,196$25,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,454.49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Lopes | 41c | 44,720$18,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,335.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Volkanovski | 58c | 43,969$25,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,628.62 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 43,885$25,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,992.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lopes | 41c | 43,317$17,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,626.73 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…264ebacked Lopes | 0c | 38,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lopes | 41c | 37,500$15,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,374.94 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Lopes | 41c | 36,585$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lopes | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Lopes | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Volkanovski | 58c | 29,737$17,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,489.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Volkanovski | 59c | 26,795$15,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,107.85 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Volkanovski | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Lopes | 42c | 24,695$10,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,372 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 23,053$13,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,393.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Lopes | 41c | 21,764$8,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,889.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lopes | 42c | 19,279$8,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,014.92 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lopes | 43c | 18,605$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…2c74backed Volkanovski | 60c | 18,569$11,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Volkanovski | 59c | 18,200$10,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Volkanovski | 58c | 18,000$10,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.95 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Volkanovski | 58c | 17,694$10,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.37 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Lopes | 42c | 16,551$6,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,951.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Lopes | 41c | 16,344$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,701.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Lopes | 15c | 16,260$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.28 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…dc7fbacked Lopes | 41c | 16,131$6,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,613.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Lopes | 41c | 16,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lopes | 41c | 14,448$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.6 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Volkanovski | 57c | 13,674$7,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.88 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Lopes | 41c | 13,014$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Lopes | 41c | 12,866$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.05 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Lopes | 41c | 12,790$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.63 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Volkanovski | 59c | 12,712$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.86 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lopes | 14c | 12,160$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.35 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Lopes | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.85 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Volkanovski | 58c | 11,957$6,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,048.64 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0113backed Lopes | 42c | 11,893$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 11,000$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Volkanovski | 59c | 10,599$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Lopes | 41c | 10,539$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 10,161$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…09efbacked Volkanovski | 61c | 10,124$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Volkanovski | 60c | 10,042$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Lopes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Volkanovski | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Volkanovski | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lopes | 6c | 9,446$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.52 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…60febacked Volkanovski | 59c | 9,120$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lopes | 41c | 9,010$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…36b4backed Volkanovski | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Volkanovski | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lopes | 26c | 8,011$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.15 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…deecbacked Volkanovski | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lopes | 41c | 7,952$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.28 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Lopes | 41c | 7,927$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Lopes | 41c | 7,700$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Lopes | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lopes | 10c | 7,428$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.41 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Lopes | 41c | 7,400$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Volkanovski | 58c | 7,350$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…b34ebacked Lopes | 43c | 7,281$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lopes | 42c | 7,280$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Lopes | 30c | 7,167$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.1 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Volkanovski | 60c | 7,157$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lopes | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Volkanovski | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 7,000$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Volkanovski | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Volkanovski | 59c | 6,800$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Lopes | 42c | 6,786$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Lopes | 43c | 6,706$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.37 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Volkanovski | 58c | 6,215$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…d642backed Lopes | 41c | 6,057$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Volkanovski | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.