UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4cf5016c76a0f38c6d8642db6459ecdec415892cc622a1dfdc9ad907fbcfcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cf3…4d96backed No | 54c | 29,760$16,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,070.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…261dbacked Yes | 46c | 29,593$13,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,980.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 51c | 8,240$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 47c | 6,993$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.15 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 47c | 3,281$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.67 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed No | 55c | 2,732$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked No | 53c | 1,929$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed No | 53c | 1,917$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 56c | 1,787$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 44c | 1,661$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed No | 40c | 1,612$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…d616backed No | 19c | 1,058$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 1,019$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.47 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 40c | 986.92$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…4b1ebacked Yes | 50c | 969.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 47c | 955.71$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.51 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked No | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 48c | 616.96$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked No | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 51c | 531.42$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 50c | 508.93$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Yes | 51c | 476.15$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.1 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 49c | 416.19$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb591…aba5backed Yes | 50c | 400.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Yes | 66c | 376.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 51c | 366.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed No | 52c | 299.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 231.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 52c | 229.78$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 47c | 214.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 49c | 205.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed No | 51c | 203.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…8a7cbacked Yes | 51c | 192.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 46c | 167.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes | 49c | 161.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 49c | 112.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb20…0cf5backed Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…826ebacked Yes | 51c | 102.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…55a7backed Yes | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…8df9backed No | 17c | 97.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 46c | 91.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 48c | 89.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 85.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…bb21backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…e1bdbacked No | 50c | 83.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…b28bbacked No | 50c | 76.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 47c | 76.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes | 53c | 66.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba6…8b23backed Yes | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…57febacked Yes | 52c | 52.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 62c | 50.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…06d2backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…ebd0backed No | 44c | 43.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…7ed9backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…0fecbacked Yes | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…a9d2backed Yes | 49c | 41.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…681fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…1445backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked No | 51c | 39.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…a15bbacked Yes | 72c | 35.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Yes | 55c | 31.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…42c8backed Yes | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…4c70backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed No | 51c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…ccc3backed No | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski won
- Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.