TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5eb2…55a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+50.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100.8%+$50.4
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+235.9%+$117.97
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+29.2%+$47.21
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 86% and 88%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.5%+$58.47
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Kast win by at least 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.2%+$162.64
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30.69
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+46%+$260.38
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-82.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$19.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$32.37
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.