Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ba3784a5edc778783310ed14930215d72b13b445a3d4b764881e0e1571364a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 7,952$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 7,261$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 28c | 6,886$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.2 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 3,020$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.17 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 77c | 2,593$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Over | 60c | 2,166$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.21 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 1,053$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 956.63$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 40c | 502.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 61c | 496.72$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 74c | 461.77$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 50c | 417.92$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 71c | 395.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 346.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Over | 80c | 334.28$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 294.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 268.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 242.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 199.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 61c | 180.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 63c | 153.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 143.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…cf80backed Over | 70c | 142.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 73c | 137.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 74c | 114.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 30c | 100.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 46c | 92.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 54c | 90.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 29c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 52c | 75.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 56c | 71.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Over | 30c | 68.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 68.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b43…df40backed Over | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…de69backed Under | 37c | 60.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…4a99backed Under | 60c | 60.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 55c | 49.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Under | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 71c | 42.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…55a7backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Under | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…3e4dbacked Over | 64c | 36.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 29c | 35.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 62c | 32.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 66c | 25.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Under | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…d91abacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.