Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd593356222b786fd36f18c664d9377432d54fcad82cf50563c242df407b7e7d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 80c | 3,013$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.65 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 77c | 2,952$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.8 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 23c | 2,426$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.98 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 2,213$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,225$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,034$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 663.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 479.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 76c | 222.87$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e2…482dbacked Over | 76c | 132.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 24c | 116$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed Over | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 25c | 49.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 22.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 77c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.