Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee98756084d4b95ac81652ca1d913e5d8ecb9e908efb65c556789c86b473376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 50c | 19,950$9,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,975.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 14,970$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 51c | 2,809$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 2,186$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.99 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,787$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,599$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 66c | 713.87$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.74 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 553.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 63c | 376.19$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 328.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 70c | 304.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 10c | 299.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Under | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Over | 54c | 183.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 39c | 178.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 50c | 176.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 146.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 50c | 136.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 127.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 54c | 119.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 111.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 88.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 45c | 79.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 75c | 75.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…297bbacked Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 51c | 59.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…881cbacked Over | 55c | 55.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed Over | 55c | 51.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…bf9fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…ee1cbacked Under | 45c | 36.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 56c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 45c | 26.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…663abacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…4188backed Over | 50c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…2c61backed Over | 51c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 51c | 20.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…fb59backed Over | 55c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…f6ffbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…fa0fbacked Over | 62c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.