World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749581eca56770df39a0126af46418fe2b360df777dd7df7d730ad13a80f93ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 58c | 10,585$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,469.05 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 37c | 4,280$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.48 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 19c | 2,472$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.13 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 47c | 2,173$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.56 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,402$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.27 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…cae3backed Yes | 51c | 847.9$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 27c | 842.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 62c | 731.75$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.96 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 40c | 676.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 56c | 521$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 478.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 55c | 453$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 40c | 419.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 47c | 355.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 61c | 349.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2f62backed Yes | 50c | 346.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Yes | 54c | 305$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 55c | 277$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…d9fcbacked No | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed No | 45c | 251$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked No | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 44c | 233$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…59e6backed Yes | 59c | 227.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 13c | 226.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 47c | 224.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 42c | 216$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 46c | 214$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 36c | 207.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 44c | 203$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 61c | 201.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 41c | 201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 56c | 198$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked No | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 41c | 197$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 44c | 197$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes | 58c | 189.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 44c | 173$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…a002backed No | 59c | 168$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…55a7backed Yes | 63c | 158.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 149.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed No | 51c | 143.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…ea15backed Yes | 65c | 140.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…802abacked No | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 50c | 132.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 44c | 128.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 126.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 42c | 122$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…0fbbbacked Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked No | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked No | 58c | 106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 52c | 105.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…44d8backed No | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 46c | 100.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 38c | 96.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 33c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 37c | 91.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed No | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…ad9bbacked Yes | 60c | 81.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed No | 57c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…fc43backed Yes | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 36c | 61.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…24a5backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Yes | 60c | 52.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…2c80backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…b465backed No | 43c | 45.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked No | 33c | 43.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?this page
- Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 90%?No won
- Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 82% and 84%?No won
- Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 86% and 88%?No won
- Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 88% and 90%?No won
- Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be less than 82%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.