TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2795…6811

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$51.56
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.7
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$99.18
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$457.08
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.48
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70.38
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.74
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$149.81
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.61
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.9
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$33.37
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$63.3
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.68
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.68
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.76
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.18
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$274.63
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$36.04
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$200.25
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.44
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$79.05
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$63.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$104.72
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$26.46
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.28
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$344.65
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$285.38
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$810.06
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.66
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+239.4%+$40.91
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$287.98
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$37.99
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$62.06
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.28
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$80.91
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.04
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$432.3
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.99
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$23.7
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.57
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.68
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.06
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Baluta win by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$24.92
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+102%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+337.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$40.81
Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$168.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)backed North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$495.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+217.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+217.8%+$205.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$115.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$266.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$324.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$347.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.