Premier League · resolved market
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5460bba49f9558d5870079d757e6720509b5ad1550a5b0b5086ebc89bb36b22c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,444 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 11,140$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 55c | 10,438$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.1 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 46c | 1,725$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,176$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 47c | 677$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…0e6abacked Yes | 54c | 630$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 54c | 611$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Yes | 54c | 579$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 47c | 499$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 280.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed No | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 72c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 106 | 79.2%84 W · 22 L | +23.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.