Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57fd955c33140e080a4e61905550ac35f7a7dc5c9cf8ac47c446879ffb563dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 52c | 4,876$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed No | 36c | 4,145$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.22 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 21c | 1,830$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 79c | 1,656$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 71c | 1,384$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.21 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed Yes | 18c | 1,222$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…ee78backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed Yes | 76c | 771$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.77 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Yes | 29c | 741.91$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 13c | 739.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 23c | 678.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2b…596bbacked Yes | 9c | 625.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 21c | 525.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 524.36$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked No | 80c | 413.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…8672backed Yes | 9c | 330.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 320.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…ae91backed Yes | 9c | 315.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…a1fbbacked Yes | 33c | 302.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 31c | 301.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…cc82backed Yes | 26c | 294.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a34…d8f3backed No | 74c | 294.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350c…8955backed Yes | 15c | 290.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 38c | 261.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Yes | 28c | 253.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…1f3fbacked No | 75c | 252.92$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 19c | 248.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 229.55$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 219.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 54c | 213.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6c…0c81backed Yes | 48c | 212.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 21c | 206$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…be7cbacked Yes | 50c | 200.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Yes | 31c | 184.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 179.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 176.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 79c | 174$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 36c | 172.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Yes | 30c | 165.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Yes | 29c | 140.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Yes | 37c | 136.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…99fabacked Yes | 25c | 133.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…5e8bbacked No | 75c | 133.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…ba9cbacked Yes | 27c | 131.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 105.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Yes | 35c | 102.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 36c | 95.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…f17ebacked Yes | 32c | 92.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…46b3backed No | 80c | 91.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 70c | 79.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 67c | 75.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked No | 47c | 65.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed No | 78c | 64.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Yes | 37c | 57.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…d3fabacked Yes | 31c | 52.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Yes | 33c | 51.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 49.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 48.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…aa9bbacked Yes | 25c | 41.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 27c | 38.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…5276backed Yes | 38c | 26.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 53c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…df11backed No | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?this page
- Will Aurora Gaming win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom Team win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will OG win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will REKONIX win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
- Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?Yes won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win ESL One Birmingham 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.