Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15079396fc65d5b9dee3884852990dc2d6b33e6d146547773b347653a4526abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Over | 63c | 1,491$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed Over | 30c | 962$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Under | 70c | 962$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Under | 37c | 763$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Over | 64c | 737$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Under | 37c | 728$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Under | 70c | 721$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Over | 30c | 721$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Under | 68c | 671$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Over | 54c | 650$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 22c | 577.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Over | 32c | 509$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under | 28c | 506$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Under | 36c | 417$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Under | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Under | 36c | 320$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Under | 46c | 193$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Over | 64c | 98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 51c | 53.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Under | 34c | 31.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 78c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.