Movies · resolved market

Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x028090d4889690ccc046b7051ecb25c5bc557dd9317fec43fd5eb8fa31c5b087

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $94,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,986 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8132…a491backed No	19c	1,926$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.94	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	31c	1,476$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.98	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes	80c	1,344$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.48	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed No	16c	1,170$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.06	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	58c	1,064$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.22	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	15c	1,011$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.72	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes	78c	983$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.26	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b2…9ae2backed No	19c	967$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.73	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…b18ebacked Yes	73c	923$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.21	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed No	20c	911$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.2	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes	71c	893$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.79	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x10bc…0451backed No	18c	889$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5374…952abacked No	21c	866$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.89	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked No	22c	865$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.3	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed No	29c	832$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.28	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed No	19c	825$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.51	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed No	26c	824$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.29	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked No	19c	807$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.33	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No	20c	800$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.33	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked No	20c	760$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No	22c	754$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.76	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked No	19c	748$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.12	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked No	27c	730$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.1	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…4018backed Yes	79c	727$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.84	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes	78c	724$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.28	20	55%11 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No	21c	722$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.62	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e72…7de5backed No	18c	709$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.62	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked Yes	71c	707$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.03	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	62cpaid	+42%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes	71c	695$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.55	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes	80c	670$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed No	19c	656$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.64	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bad…4fe8backed Yes	62c	649.12$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed No	22c	638$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.36	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	77c	619$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.98	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb28…74f4backed Yes	71c	615$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.35	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x524c…ab94backed No	29c	568$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.72	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes	79c	568$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.28	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked No	19c	560$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.4	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes	80c	531$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.2	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No	19c	520$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.8	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ed…28e1backed No	45c	519$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.13	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed Yes	77c	518$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.17	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	15c	505.48$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.99	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked No	41c	504$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.22	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x577c…588dbacked No	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed No	19c	489$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.91	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked Yes	79c	458$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.18	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes	53c	443$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.21	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0de5…d01cbacked No	29c	439$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.31	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No	18c	430$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.06	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a45…9d4abacked No	42c	424.76$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.35	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+8.8wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No	20c	410$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed No	46c	391$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.61	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-44%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed No	19c	380$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.2	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fde…cbbebacked No	36c	377.02$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.65	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed Yes	80c	373$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.6	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7166…f815backed No	22c	358$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.76	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4628…ee62backed No	29c	356$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.24	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Yes	71c	356$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.24	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-59%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked No	27c	347$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.91	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed No	18c	347$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.46	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	12c	321$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No	66c	319$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.54	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed No	19c	319$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x647e…88c8backed Yes	53c	316$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.52	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff5d…4e58backed No	29c	315$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.35	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa756…b167backed Yes	73c	314$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.78	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf75c…838dbacked No	27c	314$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.78	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed No	41c	313$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.18	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes	80c	307$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.4	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa67…4585backed Yes	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed Yes	59c	295$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.95	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked No	41c	287$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.67	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes	76c	278$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.54	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No	20c	278$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.6	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	23c	271.41$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.65	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2f…a8aabacked No	33c	271$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.07	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	54c	270$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.46	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	67c	268.65$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.86	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes	79c	264$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.44	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed No	42c	260$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.02	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked No	47c	257$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.79	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc886…696fbacked No	18c	248$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes	46c	248$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.68	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5f57backed No	19c	237$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes	57c	237$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.51	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed Yes	50c	234$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.93	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed No	18c	230$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed No	29c	227$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.83	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes	59c	222$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	22c	221.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes	59c	218$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.38	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed No	41c	216$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.56	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed No	67c	207$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.69	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked No	20c	207$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d8…4c30backed Yes	80c	206$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes	67c	206$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.02	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…ac22backed Yes	80c	202$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.4	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No	72c	202$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.25	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed No	20c	202$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.4	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event