College Football · resolved market
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37aa634eaf452b8135e046813fcc19132332832a69b85972000d3b4083c77ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 13c | 5,123$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +861.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,726$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked No | 5c | 830.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 726$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.72 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…4036backed No | 26c | 588.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 32c | 494$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…ba4cbacked No | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 14c | 350.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked No | 6c | 312.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 64c | 304$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 53c | 291.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed No | 65c | 291$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 77c | 286.67$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed No | 66c | 242$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 31c | 237$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…d68ebacked Yes | 34c | 209$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 67c | 189$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Yes | 35c | 178$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 36c | 169$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…a8aabacked No | 69c | 166$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 66c | 153$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 34c | 125$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed Yes | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…9e7abacked No | 24c | 91.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 34c | 89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 60c | 86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 42c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 64c | 79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed No | 57c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 34c | 69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 57c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed No | 57c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 35c | 61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 66c | 59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…28a5backed Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…802abacked Yes | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked No | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed No | 66c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 67c | 43.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked No | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8f4bbacked No | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…4334backed Yes | 42c | 31.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 32cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…5d6dbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…4794backed No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…597dbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…1aa6backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Arizona State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will BYU make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Duke make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia Tech make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Indiana make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Iowa State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Iowa make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Michigan make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Minnesota make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will North Carolina make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Ole Miss make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oregon make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Penn State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will South Carolina make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will TCU make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Texas Tech make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Virginia Tech make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Washington make the College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.