TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a61…af24backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+861.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed No12c8,295$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,330.632867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+85.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes77c2,103$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.68742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78c…0c5abacked No10c1,510$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f22…e5d5backed No9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No21c949$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.651050%5 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+129.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes75c812.16$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6067145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes59c351$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.055137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2012…128fbacked Yes79c244.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.53714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x542b…f11fbacked Yes72c235.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.171070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5874…05f7backed No22c206.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+146.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed No26c145$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.91931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x343d…cd2ebacked Yes77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc66…9e45backed No20c125.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+402.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes80c119.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.621631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5485…231cbacked Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked No23c95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x561b…7938backed No29c91.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.24633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c19…4bbbbacked No21c74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7d…7e38backed No21c69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+220.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaad5…ede9backed No23c66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No16c65.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.331250%6 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x845f…a6a5backed No21c65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa43f…db8abacked No23c61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd2…0c18backed No23c57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d0…0d66backed No21c57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5951…74a6backed No23c56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234f…788dbacked No21c55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb25f…4530backed No23c54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa651…0921backed No21c54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6c…62adbacked No23c53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…af58backed No22c53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x950a…337bbacked No21c52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes79c44.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7672…b885backed Yes79c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf1…4c02backed Yes79c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8572…cc52backed Yes79c26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5af…1f6dbacked Yes79c26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…3467backed Yes77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2d…2946backed Yes77c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b6a…3057backed Yes79c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6899…0fcdbacked Yes77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf736…32d6backed Yes79c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45cd…306dbacked Yes77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa433…1064backed Yes77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea6…fb73backed Yes79c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cb…9727backed Yes79c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…996bbacked Yes79c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x836e…15e8backed Yes77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3de…83f4backed Yes79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed0…defcbacked Yes77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec5…fc4bbacked Yes79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50dc…584fbacked Yes79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c3…5787backed Yes77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012b…7f98backed Yes77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a8…8038backed Yes79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb8…1607backed Yes77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bad…b5febacked Yes79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86bc…c2edbacked Yes79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe15…9bf1backed Yes78c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ed…be0dbacked Yes79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c0…ce40backed Yes79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b1…c75abacked Yes77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf831…ce54backed Yes77c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…f254backed Yes78c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d22…43b8backed Yes77c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4493…04fabacked Yes77c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eac…95a3backed Yes77c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d92…cc3fbacked Yes79c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e1…e200backed Yes79c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2139…14ebbacked Yes79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c97…6863backed Yes79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a54…8d60backed Yes79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b42…1e7fbacked Yes79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x623b…9b59backed Yes79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6914…d802backed Yes78c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ae…c8d9backed Yes79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4c…6274backed Yes77c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…601abacked Yes77c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff06…c391backed Yes79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9680…c9f9backed Yes77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.