TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,143 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0298…93c4backed Yes2c9,051$162 inLost-$162.252030%6 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes3c7,219$194 inLost-$194.281915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-61.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3981…9b0fbacked Yes1c6,929$56 inLost-$56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,967$33 inLost-$32.522244%9 W · 215 L-0.5wins0.00per pick4cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…758fbacked Yes3c3,333$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes2c2,395$40 inLost-$39.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ed…c5a4backed Yes3c2,242$61 inLost-$611136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f22…e5d5backed Yes1c2,229$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c22…5656backed Yes2c2,144$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes1c1,293$10 inLost-$101050%5 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+129.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes3c490.34$14 inLost-$14.246540%26 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf51…70c1backed Yes6c363.19$21 inLost-$21.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes8c348$28 inLost-$27.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a7…de87backed Yes6c283.33$16 inLost-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2012…128fbacked Yes9c226.1$19 inLost-$19.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes7c224.87$15 inLost-$14.781250%6 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked Yes10c175$18 inLost-$17.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes9c171$15 inLost-$15.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes44c152$67 inLost-$66.88728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed Yes37c108.74$40 inLost-$39.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29e…3bccbacked Yes39c102.12$40 inLost-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Yes34c87.77$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No36c68.92$25 inWon+$43.873231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Yes20c60$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Yes38c52.33$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…e696backed No20c51.46$10 inWon+$41.172352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes71c20$14 inLost-$14.12416.7%4 W · 20 L-8.5wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf284…29ddbacked Yes79c17.54$14 inLost-$13.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.