World Politics · resolved market
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844640facfadafb988ddffc450e8a3f46eb785acb38ad346f8381d4787223c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 75c | 5,649$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.63 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed No | 9c | 4,772$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…8463backed Yes | 57c | 4,282$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 72c | 3,180$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.33 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 51c | 3,113$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…1fc6backed Yes | 52c | 2,463$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.91 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,480$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 25c | 1,391$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…f507backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 37c | 1,150$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.1 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 63c | 1,134$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 7c | 1,088$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,087$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…2741backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 35c | 979.27$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 925.78$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.44 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 42c | 895$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.89 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 31c | 869.44$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.51 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 36c | 833.03$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 17c | 825.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 746.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 63c | 671.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 36c | 666.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.43 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 33c | 650$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 16c | 648.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 16c | 627.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 53c | 624.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e1…354dbacked Yes | 49c | 599.77$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…6870backed Yes | 34c | 592.9$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed No | 10c | 571.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…bc0abacked No | 9c | 532$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a3a4backed Yes | 63c | 511.57$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 55c | 489.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed No | 8c | 468.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cc…65c7backed Yes | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 60c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…8a05backed Yes | 34c | 383.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 6c | 331.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 53c | 299$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 54c | 283.47$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 58c | 280$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 34c | 272$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked Yes | 78c | 257.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…4059backed Yes | 80c | 237.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…a403backed Yes | 61c | 235.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 9c | 234$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5a…c0bcbacked Yes | 65c | 233.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 58c | 233.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 5c | 216.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…0c6ebacked No | 9c | 215$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 67c | 212.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…4987backed Yes | 64c | 210.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 64c | 209.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 42c | 205$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 33c | 199.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…5e1dbacked No | 8c | 189.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…1c6fbacked Yes | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Yes | 51c | 178.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…e5ddbacked Yes | 36c | 172.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 53c | 172$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 49c | 162.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…8f15backed No | 29c | 144.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…bc81backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 32c | 136$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 80c | 135.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked No | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 38c | 128.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 44c | 122.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 68c | 119.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 49c | 114.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 35c | 104.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a76dbacked Yes | 50c | 100.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c36…67cdbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…cb88backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…8839backed No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 23c | 96.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 63c | 96.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 79c | 93.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…929bbacked Yes | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…fe12backed Yes | 58c | 85.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 54c | 85.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 53c | 85.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…995dbacked No | 47c | 85.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?this page
- Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Mario Rivera Callejas finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.