World Politics · resolved market
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb74533c2bf154250dff6698d24b719fa37b74a3bdaf1f5c7e05c9149b34b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 2c | 23,168$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.64 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…c211backed Yes | 0c | 4,173$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 7c | 4,110$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 74c | 1,400$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 29c | 1,350$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 43c | 829.58$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 765.31$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 44c | 758.85$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…6e1ebacked No | 78c | 649.63$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 78c | 603.41$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 11c | 551.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 69c | 500.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…6870backed Yes | 40c | 401.45$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Yes | 9c | 339.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 34c | 331$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 28c | 300.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 29c | 291.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c974backed No | 65c | 240$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddce…7194backed Yes | 35c | 236.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…3601backed Yes | 27c | 232.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 47c | 213.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…4059backed No | 70c | 208$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 205.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…e5ddbacked Yes | 34c | 180.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…0c87backed Yes | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…e74abacked Yes | 24c | 114.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 24c | 110.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 35c | 93.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…aa4cbacked Yes | 48c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…e1cabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 39c | 63.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9785backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…80d3backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…debfbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…d1babacked Yes | 29c | 50.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…81e3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…77d2backed Yes | 33c | 45.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a8…4cdebacked Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec5…ddb5backed No | 70c | 43.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…c40fbacked No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…487cbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae44…1d46backed Yes | 40c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…c9b6backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…268cbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…6a1ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…bf5fbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…b798backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…2a50backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…c307backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…f62bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…8f15backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?this page
- Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Mario Rivera Callejas finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.