World Politics · resolved market
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ab21e2e0f068f722178680a440bb4d601649d6e300975054cd2e7470c97ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Yes | 4c | 30,187$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked Yes | 32c | 9,330$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 20c | 9,239$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.65 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 51c | 4,553$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 4,420$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 20c | 3,946$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.35 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 19c | 3,609$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…1fc6backed Yes | 44c | 3,375$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,050$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.05 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Yes | 10c | 2,896$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…4d73backed Yes | 11c | 2,877$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 8c | 2,514$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,546$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 60c | 1,474$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.43 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 17c | 1,331$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,253$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…7de4backed Yes | 28c | 1,252$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 20c | 1,245$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.61 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 57c | 1,207$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 61c | 1,206$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.55 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 33c | 1,125$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 8c | 1,060$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 8c | 938.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 17c | 893.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5a…c0bcbacked Yes | 19c | 800.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 58c | 798.09$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 14c | 792.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…b9f3backed Yes | 27c | 727.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 78c | 692.54$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe069…3c17backed Yes | 8c | 660.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…8cd3backed Yes | 47c | 636.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…7a37backed No | 79c | 630.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes | 2c | 580.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 65c | 545.94$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8e76backed Yes | 7c | 518.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 42c | 500$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 69c | 500$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes | 12c | 486.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 66c | 470$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 58c | 458.94$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…6c16backed Yes | 6c | 447.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 14c | 440.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 28c | 435.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 21c | 420$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked Yes | 17c | 401.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +183%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 41c | 400$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 31c | 396.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 17c | 365.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 32c | 362$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…d2b1backed Yes | 37c | 352.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked Yes | 11c | 350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…02c8backed Yes | 14c | 337.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 47c | 323.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 47c | 312$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +288.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked No | 56c | 304.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 42c | 273$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 35c | 260.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 38c | 259.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 40c | 250.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 53c | 249$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 36c | 223.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 50c | 218.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 19c | 210$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…7f9cbacked No | 65c | 210$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 31c | 205.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875d…25cfbacked Yes | 30c | 204.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…e2afbacked Yes | 54c | 185.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…eb8fbacked Yes | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…7487backed Yes | 11c | 178.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…482bbacked Yes | 11c | 176.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 58c | 176$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed Yes | 32c | 174$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 43c | 173.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 55c | 167.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…fe12backed Yes | 60c | 165.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…8a14backed Yes | 29c | 157.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 9c | 157.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 7c | 153.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…65d5backed Yes | 33c | 151.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 70c | 150.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…f4e4backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…aa4cbacked Yes | 41c | 139.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf9…5b5ebacked Yes | 36c | 138.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…e846backed Yes | 11c | 127.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 19c | 127$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…89b6backed Yes | 12c | 119.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…40a7backed Yes | 36c | 117.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Yes | 13c | 111.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…d02ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?this page
- Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Mario Rivera Callejas finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.