TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x12cc…275d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Olympics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT12818.8%24 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.6%+$28.65
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.7%+$8.32
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.76
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.72
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+566.7%+$59.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25.55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.41
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+429.1%+$48.66
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+59.6%+$24.98
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT5463%34 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.33
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$28.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$17.89
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.47
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$8.78
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.66
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$4.92
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$7.83
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$8.35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.75
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$4.46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.16
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+215.6%+$64.69
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$813.73
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42%+$55.04
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$101.13
Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31%+$9.3
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.85
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$22.12
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+50.7%+$10.15
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$216.13
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,503.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$501.11
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$86.72
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$39.27
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$970.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+30%+$5.08
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.5%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.