Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb86ce3c8dd25ae79fad48ddb7ac91344fe769fc65b3300917a198e6d38c16b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 52c | 1,491$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.03 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 64c | 506.06$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 439.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 401.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 303.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 46c | 267.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 36c | 240.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 24c | 239.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 76c | 223.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 24c | 220.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed No | 23c | 202.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 176.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 68c | 170.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 30c | 165.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 25c | 155.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 151.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 62c | 147.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 65c | 146.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 136.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 46c | 135.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 130.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…5967backed Yes | 37c | 127.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 61c | 111.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 33c | 110.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 106.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 35c | 104.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…6008backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…bb29backed Yes | 17c | 95.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 58c | 88.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 54c | 72.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 50c | 69.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 30c | 68.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 36c | 63.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 28c | 62.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 48c | 57.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 44c | 56.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked Yes | 67c | 52.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 56c | 50.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…6191backed Yes | 49c | 50.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 45c | 49.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 49.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…4990backed No | 41c | 47.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 48c | 47.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…7fdbbacked Yes | 73c | 39.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 27c | 38.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 49c | 37.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed No | 38c | 37.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…a14cbacked Yes | 52c | 36.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…81e9backed Yes | 64c | 36.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 43c | 35.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 65c | 34.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 55c | 34.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 50c | 34.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Yes | 63c | 34.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 46c | 34.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…0e02backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 77c | 33.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf53…795ebacked No | 34c | 33.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…ad95backed No | 51c | 32.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 67c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 32.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 54c | 32.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 38c | 30.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 63c | 30.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…cef2backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…e954backed Yes | 41c | 29.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 59c | 28.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 50c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 49c | 28.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7bb2backed No | 52c | 27.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 49c | 27.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 75c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe747…a984backed No | 48c | 24.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 48c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked Yes | 76c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 72c | 23.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 73c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…293dbacked Yes | 72c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked Yes | 79c | 19.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b421backed No | 64c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…910bbacked Yes | 69c | 19.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked Yes | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…8a4cbacked Yes | 75c | 17.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…4801backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…dd14backed No | 73c | 15.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 73c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.