Tennis · resolved market
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe99b4b6eba085f3dbd4639ad94b7d2aead07a93a2610fe964f6e5d4c23a7feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked No | 58c | 12,009$6,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.05 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 39c | 9,624$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.5 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…da10backed Yes | 65c | 4,516$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 46c | 3,475$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.86 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 75c | 3,370$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.07 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,798$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 53c | 1,157$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.91 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed No | 45c | 1,113$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.57 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Yes | 50c | 806.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 39c | 779.74$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.79 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 50c | 580.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 47c | 561.19$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 39c | 515.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 58c | 514.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed No | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 60c | 417.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…7181backed Yes | 55c | 361.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 53c | 339.83$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.89 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…442dbacked Yes | 50c | 305.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 37c | 304.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed No | 40c | 300$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…61b2backed Yes | 36c | 299.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…7a40backed Yes | 50c | 299.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 55c | 275.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f11abacked Yes | 55c | 268.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Yes | 48c | 222.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…d023backed Yes | 36c | 211.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5de…f03dbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked No | 43c | 192.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…7dd1backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 39c | 172.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 62c | 160.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 40c | 156.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 36c | 127.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…75ecbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8784backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64d…58d2backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…32d4backed Yes | 59c | 88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 48c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 62c | 64.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1700…54d9backed Yes | 49c | 61.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 54.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 53c | 53.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…e43cbacked Yes | 61c | 51.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…afd6backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…5df6backed Yes | 50c | 50.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bd…3dc6backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed No | 46c | 43.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 49c | 40.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…a9dbbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…316dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…f10cbacked No | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…dbecbacked Yes | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 44c | 30.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c6…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked Yes | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…13c6backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?No won
- Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?No won
- Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.