Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f66348e3ab85c7ba211f840c96b6ae30fd65fe3674aa0edbbdbac4ffebb29b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f6c…82cfbacked No | 3c | 4,750$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,082$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 606.94$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 47c | 537.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 44c | 391.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 33c | 373.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 77c | 321.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 60c | 293.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 62c | 258.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 58c | 248.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…a789backed No | 5c | 242.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 233.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 225.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 35c | 213.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 38c | 205.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 29c | 191.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 170.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Yes | 35c | 169.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…54adbacked Yes | 70c | 151.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 36c | 139.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 39c | 132.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 47c | 129.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 127.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 43c | 127.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Yes | 50c | 124.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 124.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 54c | 108.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 40c | 107.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 44c | 100.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 39c | 96.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 43c | 92.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 41c | 91.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Yes | 73c | 75.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9f9abacked Yes | 33c | 69.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 50c | 66.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…0e22backed Yes | 75c | 65.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 46c | 63.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 42c | 57.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 34c | 56.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 47c | 55.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 34c | 55.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 36c | 54.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 54.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 37c | 52.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 56c | 51.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…a45abacked Yes | 74c | 50.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 41c | 49.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 39c | 49.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed No | 28c | 49.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 65c | 48.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 56c | 48.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 58c | 47.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked No | 64c | 45.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…6e95backed Yes | 40c | 45.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 41c | 44.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 42c | 44.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 26c | 44.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…a265backed No | 42c | 44.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 45c | 43.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…155cbacked Yes | 43c | 43.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed No | 25c | 43.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 45c | 41.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7224…1b96backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…e72ebacked Yes | 78c | 39.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…bcd3backed No | 47c | 38.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 62c | 38.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 58c | 37.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 79c | 37.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…ed95backed No | 78c | 37.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 75c | 37.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 60c | 36.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…befcbacked Yes | 44c | 36.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…3ddcbacked Yes | 54c | 35.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 55c | 34.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 68c | 33.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 58c | 33.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed No | 74c | 32.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 34c | 32.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 60c | 31.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 61c | 30.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 49c | 29.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 71c | 29.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed No | 45c | 29.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Yes | 49c | 28.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 57c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 38c | 26.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 54c | 26.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 56c | 25.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 79c | 25.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…f2f6backed Yes | 78c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 41c | 24.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69a…90f7backed Yes | 47c | 23.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.