Movies · resolved market
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a8981659dc4efa2a2bdb4b3d31c5a5827500a2feb19f6a4cb3889893f1485c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,034,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x074b…268bbacked Yes | 63c | 107,045$67,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,606.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4912backed No | 37c | 107,045$39,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,606.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 65c | 50,002$32,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,450 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 73c | 45,495$32,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,503.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 65c | 31,751$20,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,116.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 58c | 30,305$17,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,791.28 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 17,033$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.96 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 66c | 16,935$11,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.3 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 28c | 13,207$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 7c | 13,046$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.55 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 25c | 12,856$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.57 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed Yes | 67c | 11,220$7,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 8c | 10,508$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 64c | 9,886$6,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.86 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 26c | 8,489$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.17 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 41c | 7,483$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.62 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 43c | 7,382$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.41 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 65c | 7,099$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 61c | 7,054$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed Yes | 68c | 6,445$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 59c | 6,414$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.38 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 47c | 5,422$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.91 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…9e74backed Yes | 33c | 5,188$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 68c | 5,145$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 62c | 5,096$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…9d8ebacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 66c | 4,811$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 66c | 4,748$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.34 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 21c | 4,696$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.07 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 31c | 4,654$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.67 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 32c | 4,526$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 33c | 4,371$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 66c | 4,367$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.83 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 28c | 4,100$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.98 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed No | 27c | 4,022$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 16c | 3,726$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.31 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 32c | 3,553$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…6cd3backed Yes | 65c | 3,462$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 35c | 3,395$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.48 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 66c | 3,394$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…9d9bbacked No | 46c | 3,350$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…aab1backed Yes | 67c | 3,289$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 76c | 3,002$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Yes | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.73 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 36c | 2,621$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 63c | 2,572$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 32c | 2,434$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.68 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 64c | 2,327$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 75c | 2,122$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…f99ebacked No | 33c | 2,114$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 56c | 2,053$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,978$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 1,946$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.84 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 32c | 1,931$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.87 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 24c | 1,900$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 67c | 1,860$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 77c | 1,853$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.57 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0062…841bbacked No | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Yes | 32c | 1,800$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.38 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 31c | 1,538$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.24 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 25c | 1,534$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.39 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 56c | 1,530$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 11c | 1,501$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…c856backed No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9554…2d01backed Yes | 67c | 1,490$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 37c | 1,424$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.17 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,375$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 14c | 1,350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,311$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.22 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…9114backed No | 37c | 1,294$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 35c | 1,280$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…b881backed No | 37c | 1,234$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 19c | 1,186$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 47c | 1,164$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.16 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,160$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…ba6cbacked No | 17c | 1,100$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 1,056$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 64c | 1,034$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…f489backed Yes | 42c | 1,018$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.21 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…322abacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…f435backed Yes | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…2dbfbacked No | 38c | 884.96$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 39c | 880.34$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.14 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 74c | 877$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Yes | 69c | 873.77$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 69c | 869.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 67c | 855.58$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 77c | 850.21$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed No | 46c | 846.04$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…90a1backed No | 29c | 835.35$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…a943backed No | 31c | 817.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 66c | 799.99$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "A Real Pain" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Challengers" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Nosferatu" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "September" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Sing Sing" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.