Olympics · resolved market
USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8ca8a9ced311c74a1a5cd09f0e83ddb267c2e6f03d1f4a0b8fff2d2828e9a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 1,529$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,467$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,276$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 66c | 1,214$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 28c | 777.88$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked No | 43c | 755.02$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 70c | 682$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 52c | 667.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 639.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed No | 20c | 524.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 65c | 454.03$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 33c | 368.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 8c | 333.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 13c | 323$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 49c | 289.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 7c | 195.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 56c | 178.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 70c | 122.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 17c | 106.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 13c | 83.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 31c | 80.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 17c | 78.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…9b81backed Yes | 62c | 75.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…0088backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 78c | 45.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…c705backed Yes | 69c | 40.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…7a3abacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked Yes | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…6a76backed Yes | 69c | 32.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…21aabacked No | 43c | 30.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…0226backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…483dbacked Yes | 57c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…de3cbacked Yes | 75c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?this page
- Canada wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- China wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- Germany wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- India wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- Israel wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.