Olympics · resolved market
Canada wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb975e2be369bd0430e2ae7ed01188924be517356664130eadf8d0dc27511a0ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 5,400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,519$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,071$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…b84fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,032$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 950.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 2c | 750.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 15c | 686.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 8c | 582$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9061backed Yes | 9c | 507.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 14c | 456.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 9c | 445$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes | 8c | 410.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 9c | 327.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 4c | 263.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 10c | 128.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 118.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…2aa7backed Yes | 15c | 96.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?this page
- China wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- Germany wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- India wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- Israel wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?No won
- USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.