Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d2297d684636509f133e3f0014980bbce656f13b8296c5557578d5ee47793c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,510$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.77 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 587.37$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.87 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 570.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.73 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 478.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.23 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 442.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 27c | 378.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 31c | 337.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 29c | 299.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 39c | 293.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 21c | 228.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 16c | 217.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 23c | 199.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 51c | 199.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 198.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 74c | 196.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 34c | 189.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…3ee4backed Yes | 34c | 176.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 70c | 141.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 67c | 138.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 27c | 133.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…beb2backed No | 77c | 126.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…0179backed Yes | 35c | 120.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 41c | 115.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 112.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 43c | 107.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 28c | 102.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 99.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 27c | 98.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 98.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…ea4ebacked No | 75c | 98.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 35c | 94.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 93.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 93.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 68c | 87.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 61c | 83.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 21c | 79.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 48c | 79.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 47c | 77.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 31c | 69.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 31c | 67.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…c5e4backed Yes | 17c | 66.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 29c | 66.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 50c | 59.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 56.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked No | 57c | 52.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 72c | 50.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 47.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 69c | 46.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 46c | 45.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 31c | 45.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 65c | 45.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 29c | 44.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 40c | 44.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 29c | 44.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 75c | 43.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 35c | 43.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 32c | 40.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 75c | 40.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 33c | 39.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 76c | 38.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…a45abacked Yes | 41c | 36.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 67c | 36.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 70c | 33.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 38c | 33.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 71c | 33.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 72c | 32.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 57c | 32.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 58c | 32.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…b483backed Yes | 41c | 32.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf644…a9afbacked No | 60c | 32.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 31.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 79c | 31.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 77c | 30.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 76c | 30.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 39c | 30.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 67c | 29.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 72c | 29.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 72c | 29.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 63c | 29.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 57c | 29.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 41c | 29.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 28.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed No | 51c | 27.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed No | 65c | 26.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 77c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…3976backed No | 67c | 25.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed No | 75c | 25.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 79c | 24.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 65c | 24.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 62c | 23.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…2822backed Yes | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 22.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 70c | 21.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 68c | 21.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 72c | 21.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 70°F or higher on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.