TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$871,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$879,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,069 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No42c130,464$55,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,328.244,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No31c78,386$24,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,233.189536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No31c48,368$14,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,373.97139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No29c38,716$11,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,488.78957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No28c37,217$10,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,696.356145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes68c35,000$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,80017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c30,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,549.787321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No58c29,275$16,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,328.054247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c28,431$14,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,145.071,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c27,271$12,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,638.1969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes68c20,286$13,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,694.744942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes68c19,877$13,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,461.8430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No32c18,794$6,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,788.29459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes73c17,903$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,000977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No32c17,884$5,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,212.2179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No32c17,615$5,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,983.8629545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes70c16,300$11,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,381.1750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes69c16,181$11,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,165837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes45c13,259$5,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,925.7715036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c12,047$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,158.2640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes43c11,139$4,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,821.3526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10f0…51bdbacked No67c10,366$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes71c9,622$6,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,831.625058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes72c9,077$6,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,510.272564%16 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes39c8,999$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.614461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes69c8,156$5,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,627.4280%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes67c7,417$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes71c7,000$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9707424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes72c6,964$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.626160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Yes40c6,700$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed Yes60c6,667$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes68c6,454$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ca…6e94backed Yes68c6,146$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.061947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No28c6,108$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No32c6,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0802433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Yes63c5,864$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.081421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-58.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No31c5,820$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.976836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No31c5,528$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.9153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes29c5,214$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked Yes71c5,050$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes71c5,009$3,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,556.542343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0501050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5b…b2aabacked Yes42c4,803$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No42c4,200$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed No55c4,156$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.152657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Yes49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No32c4,013$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.9925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes51c3,888$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed No32c3,844$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c3,702$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.311,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes42c3,583$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5051250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes42c3,580$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.62737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abb…452ebacked Yes68c3,529$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes37c3,499$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.598142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes71c3,435$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No31c3,385$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.634348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x663e…8f0dbacked Yes59c3,372$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes45c3,283$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0965…f434backed Yes66c3,041$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked No29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1304100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+137.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0106546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.965052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes69c2,956$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8161…99dabacked Yes68c2,900$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes71c2,888$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.485444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes58c2,517$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4592748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes68c2,508$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6982025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44ea…a6cabacked Yes72c2,415$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes60c2,321$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes45c2,256$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.623036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes69c2,233$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.124850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes60c2,230$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.720255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes68c2,206$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes69c2,203$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No29c2,100$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.962623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes46c2,096$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No31c2,091$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.774032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes69c2,008$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3806431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No64c1,975$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes70c1,857$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes72c1,806$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No32c1,776$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.2664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebb…f1f2backed Yes72c1,759$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No44c1,692$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.233964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No32c1,650$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.4818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9e…19ddbacked Yes67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9238729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.792948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes67c1,484$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick60cpaid-53.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b0…f9f4backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes41c1,437$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.312433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No27c1,400$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0223218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes72c1,396$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.95955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.