Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42336b42be8f44b9d4dcc6312e87d2cff5315e624ddc492dce5ed80222324d61

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,292,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,192,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,292,859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 831 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x206b…7d6abacked No	1c	17,500$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	78c	15,679$12,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,162.02	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc908…f949backed No	0c	15,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	14c	14,737$2,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,647.84	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	14,271$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,633.03	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	31c	14,026$4,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,709	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked No	3c	13,608$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.63	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	24c	13,475$3,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,246.06	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	38c	11,201$4,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,941.78	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,989.96	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	8c	9,629$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,861.05	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	8c	9,423$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,647.71	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf89…a739backed Yes	10c	8,919$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,033.4	107	15.9%17 W · 90 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	16c	8,398$1,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,030.35	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	39c	8,245$3,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,218.03	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	8,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,599.95	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	42c	7,991$3,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,382.31	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	6c	7,845$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,399.65	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f1…06e5backed No	55c	7,250$3,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,996.73	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb28…2160backed Yes	17c	6,778$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,619.9	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	12c	6,749$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,943.32	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	65c	6,693$4,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,373.93	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	19c	6,531$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,266.53	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	6,358$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,462.42	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	6,198$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,780.01	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	13c	6,088$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,325.07	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	51c	5,893$3,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,864.44	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	56c	5,210$2,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,293.71	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	16c	5,000$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,186.76	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	26c	4,889$1,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,596.21	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	52c	4,655$2,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,227.51	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	14c	4,500$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,886.77	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	4,426$3,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,419.6	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes	9c	4,211$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,826.57	96	9.4%9 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	42c	4,173$1,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,422.3	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	9c	4,170$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,784.14	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	35c	4,156$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,715.26	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	47c	4,042$1,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,141.01	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	37c	3,707$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,346.39	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes	10c	3,659$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,306.23	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a41…a88cbacked Yes	69c	3,630$2,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.28	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf833…37f0backed Yes	5c	3,600$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,402.94	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb63…79debacked Yes	10c	3,596$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,226.98	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c2…8acebacked Yes	20c	3,586$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,884.55	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e9…d5aebacked Yes	9c	3,476$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,174.88	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	58c	3,426$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.8	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0f…71fbbacked Yes	14c	3,424$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,932.21	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	47c	3,382$1,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.54	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	18c	3,338$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.47	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked Yes	61c	3,256$1,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.7	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	3,046$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.53	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	6c	3,027$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,860.05	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes	10c	2,977$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,676.65	125	28%35 W · 90 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…ee0dbacked Yes	28c	2,853$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050.09	46	13%6 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	25c	2,700$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,019.15	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	2,661$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,526.15	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…a7bfbacked Yes	51c	2,650$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.98	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	27c	2,612$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,901.99	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	6c	2,600$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,434.83	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	2,600$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,431.57	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	34c	2,594$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,716.88	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes	28c	2,592$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.6	131	21.4%28 W · 103 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aaa…c18dbacked Yes	9c	2,522$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,287.93	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+219.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8221…9207backed Yes	20c	2,451$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,963.48	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Yes	50c	2,378$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.9	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	54c	2,323$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256.67	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…d896backed Yes	15c	2,314$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,964.6	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2c68…878dbacked Yes	33c	2,274$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.98	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	42c	2,241$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.61	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked Yes	50c	2,225$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.9	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked No	51c	2,225$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.53	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked Yes	56c	2,214$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.38	103	12.6%13 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	13c	2,204$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,907.03	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	63c	2,200$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.79	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	14c	2,159$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.89	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	7c	2,136$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,986.87	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	24c	2,122$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,614.21	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc5…d36abacked Yes	25c	2,095$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,567.22	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	13c	2,043$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,774.75	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed No	1c	2,032$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	41c	2,015$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.03	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59e1…d3bbbacked No	50c	2,015$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8f…2999backed Yes	50c	2,015$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4626…f192backed Yes	13c	2,005$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750.59	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…8beabacked Yes	12c	2,000$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.86	69	11.6%8 W · 61 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…df2abacked Yes	6c	1,984$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,862.4	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	54c	1,950$1,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.55	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…0fa8backed Yes	43c	1,883$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.31	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf78a…9f65backed Yes	33c	1,868$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.85	133	12.8%17 W · 116 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5cf…0ef8backed Yes	4c	1,803$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.65	100	7%7 W · 93 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	4c	1,800$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.95	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes	14c	1,777$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,536.8	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	13c	1,758$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,523.02	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab7…7884backed Yes	12c	1,732$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.96	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…415bbacked Yes	12c	1,726$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.73	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e0…a519backed Yes	13c	1,723$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.03	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd669…f5e7backed Yes	5c	1,705$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,623.81	135	6.7%9 W · 126 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eaa…3feabacked Yes	55c	1,684$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.67	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No	56c	1,678$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.44	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event