Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a65bfa3e9f6ec23716c0bc249fc0b88a2db8328015047c445f60ff45da471e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,400 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 61c | 39,603$24,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,158.1 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…8272backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 38c | 1,440$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.63 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,203$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,186$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.66 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 25c | 782$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 688$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Yes | 36c | 679.84$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 62c | 646$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 619.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 404.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 286$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 237.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 71c | 196.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 38c | 148.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 22c | 138.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 38c | 103.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 80c | 89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Yes | 35c | 81.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 21c | 80.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 37c | 79.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 35c | 59.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…50f1backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 32c | 53.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 36c | 49.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 31.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 26.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…328cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…a363backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…921cbacked No | 68c | 16.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 68c | 15.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.