Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dc295aaad64c13c17ff50d5d2d936a7ba5a03c1e7b717be7e86032e9e19ab35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 425.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 31c | 414.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 63c | 317.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 75c | 299.17$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 37c | 291.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 21c | 241.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 72c | 226.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 23c | 200.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 32c | 199.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 35c | 197.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 76c | 192.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 80c | 184.52$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 78c | 181.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 35c | 177.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 177.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…54adbacked Yes | 25c | 169.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 30c | 166.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 16c | 154.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 151.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 150.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…88e2backed Yes | 26c | 147.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 30c | 140.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 21c | 108.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 27c | 105.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 20c | 99.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…fa02backed Yes | 26c | 94.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…0179backed Yes | 37c | 93.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 78c | 93.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…1d71backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 89.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 88.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 22c | 87.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 74c | 84.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…eec7backed Yes | 23c | 73.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed Yes | 26c | 69.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 65.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 76c | 60.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 58.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 62c | 57.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 74c | 57.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…52e9backed Yes | 24c | 57.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…df1ebacked Yes | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 41c | 55.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 72c | 54.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 34c | 54.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…c265backed Yes | 34c | 54.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 27c | 52.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 27c | 51.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 48.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 48.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 25c | 47.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 72c | 46.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 24c | 46.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 29c | 45.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 28c | 44.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa2…6d7dbacked Yes | 26c | 42.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 25c | 41.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 32c | 40.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 34c | 37.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…c9a6backed No | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 35c | 33.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 74c | 32.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked No | 74c | 32.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 74c | 31.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 36c | 31.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe428…d07fbacked No | 80c | 30.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 64c | 30.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 64c | 28.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 69c | 28.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…d7a7backed No | 71c | 27.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 75c | 26.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked No | 68c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 76c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 63c | 25.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 77c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fae…94debacked No | 75c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed No | 65c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 73c | 23.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 71c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cdecbacked No | 74c | 22.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 64c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 59c | 21.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…341cbacked No | 69c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…b4e1backed No | 63c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd9…ad53backed No | 75c | 21.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 75c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 75c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 73c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 77c | 19.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 76c | 18.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…e08dbacked No | 71c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked No | 80c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…9b20backed No | 80c | 18.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.