Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5a4a0669142ef6038c9374b2dc3cde52cae58fe0d7930fdead37193d3aba91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eda…bbc4backed No | 9c | 4,904$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +676.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…135bbacked No | 8c | 414.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 80c | 368.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 302.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Yes | 61c | 295.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 35c | 293.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 20c | 224.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 37c | 218.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 39c | 212.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 9c | 198.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…c3e6backed No | 7c | 191.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 16c | 176.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 46c | 162.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 70c | 145.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 141.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 138.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 39c | 122.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 65c | 120.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 63c | 115.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 55c | 106.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…7f79backed Yes | 53c | 104.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 62c | 103.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 24c | 101.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…88e2backed Yes | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 79c | 98.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 49c | 93.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 90.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 79c | 89.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…e738backed Yes | 80c | 85.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 61c | 84.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 82.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 56c | 79.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…0da8backed Yes | 51c | 74.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…65f2backed No | 64c | 74.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 17c | 74.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 55c | 71.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 40c | 70.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…222fbacked No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 62c | 68.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 64c | 68.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b85abacked No | 60c | 67.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 59c | 66.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 22c | 63.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 57c | 60.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 44c | 60.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 71c | 55.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 45c | 55.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 40c | 52.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 52.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 56c | 51.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 36c | 51.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 27c | 51.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 36c | 50.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 64c | 49.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…fa02backed No | 48c | 48.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 44.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 42c | 39.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…0d2abacked No | 47c | 38.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 49c | 38.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 60c | 34.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…30d9backed Yes | 42c | 33.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 59c | 32.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…0201backed No | 61c | 31.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked No | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 49c | 28.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 44c | 27.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…bf87backed Yes | 42c | 25.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…5f98backed No | 56c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 64c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…df1ebacked Yes | 41c | 24.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 47c | 24.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0be4backed No | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 53c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 62c | 22.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b7…847cbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…de43backed No | 65c | 19.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…910bbacked Yes | 58c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…af43backed Yes | 56c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 59c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b421backed No | 64c | 18.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 78c | 17.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 64c | 17.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 61c | 16.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.