Venezuela · resolved market
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e794ebf4afe26e1df04a9f62aa9c2df341409fc3e34bdbfc746130f53da7c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 32c | 6,270$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 69c | 4,549$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 30c | 3,343$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 25c | 2,800$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 1c | 1,978$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 79c | 1,919$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 61c | 1,618$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 33c | 1,572$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 73c | 1,539$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked No | 37c | 1,314$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 11c | 1,110$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 56c | 1,090$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 23c | 1,042$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…74eabacked Yes | 78c | 1,007$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 43c | 982.94$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 965.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 29c | 874.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 54c | 805.87$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9211…74c7backed No | 45c | 803.69$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 62c | 762.78$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 68c | 732.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…5ca0backed Yes | 74c | 610.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7b41backed No | 24c | 603.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…b73dbacked Yes | 78c | 553.23$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 21c | 499.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…d0adbacked No | 44c | 492$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2bd2backed Yes | 73c | 485.87$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 39c | 476.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 73c | 472.84$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 10c | 469.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 78c | 434.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 434.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 72c | 405.25$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…d11dbacked No | 24c | 400.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 16c | 399.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 65c | 399.95$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 25c | 388.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 36c | 382.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 33c | 362.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed No | 34c | 342.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 42c | 342.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…1535backed Yes | 72c | 339.87$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 56c | 336.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 327.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 65c | 320$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…c3a6backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 18c | 296.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…65d8backed No | 35c | 282.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…77a6backed No | 26c | 265.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 247.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…23d4backed No | 33c | 240.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 51c | 227.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…6d5ebacked Yes | 45c | 224.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 21c | 223$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0035…7f3abacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked Yes | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…4100backed Yes | 75c | 208.71$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 55c | 206.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 172.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 56c | 172$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…5a1dbacked No | 26c | 170.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed No | 25c | 163.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 35c | 158.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 72c | 151.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…a0eebacked Yes | 73c | 147.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 57c | 144.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…fb46backed Yes | 77c | 142.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…a3b3backed No | 14c | 141.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 69c | 140$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8497…a3b4backed No | 40c | 138.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed No | 12c | 138.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…46a4backed No | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 55c | 135.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…99cfbacked Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 73c | 127.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…4205backed Yes | 74c | 126.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 23c | 125.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 63c | 120.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 79c | 110.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237c…1449backed No | 28c | 107.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 48c | 100.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…713bbacked No | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…3055backed No | 19c | 99.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…cf36backed Yes | 72c | 97.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…572ebacked Yes | 74c | 96.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed No | 57c | 95.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…bfeabacked No | 47c | 95.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…c333backed No | 21c | 93.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…2763backed Yes | 59c | 91.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…8777backed Yes | 55c | 90.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 57c | 89.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.