Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd427d3adea91276f876caa46ee82fe1699769ee67e76e3683edd3c72247932c2

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $527,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $430,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,542 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5048…4b29backed Yes	1c	55,549$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.67	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f1…06e5backed Yes	26c	22,388$5,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,728.53	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	11c	13,274$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.49	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	11c	12,996$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.79	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	26c	12,270$3,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,158.37	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	8c	11,307$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.34	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	16c	11,299$1,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.91	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	8c	11,251$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.37	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	0c	11,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	19c	9,819$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.11	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	20c	9,333$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.91	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56b…f7c6backed No	69c	7,905$5,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,440.92	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked No	69c	7,641$5,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.71	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	17c	6,324$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.37	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	33c	5,198$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,691.98	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	24c	4,529$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.55	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	73c	4,520$3,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.05	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82fe…7610backed Yes	22c	4,084$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.46	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	21c	3,842$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.49	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	29c	3,625$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.76	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	26c	3,290$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.32	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	20c	3,281$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.52	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	19c	3,179$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.72	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…7155backed Yes	5c	2,800$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.45	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	14c	2,788$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.35	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	79c	2,681$2,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.48	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	10c	2,644$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.51	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2364…d963backed No	73c	2,600$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	24c	2,595$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.5	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	6c	2,500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb7…1e0dbacked Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	23c	1,953$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.12	287	23.7%68 W · 219 L	-46.5wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-63%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	16c	1,950$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.41	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	24c	1,905$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.8	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f3…0a98backed Yes	22c	1,785$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.9	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…bafebacked Yes	24c	1,723$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	76	28.9%22 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes	23c	1,679$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.78	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+125.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3327…0957backed No	76c	1,655$1,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1287…85adbacked Yes	17c	1,596$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.15	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No	77c	1,576$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.68	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	20c	1,493$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.9	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes	6c	1,492$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.56	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	13c	1,436$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.3	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	25c	1,430$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.09	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ed…8808backed Yes	40c	1,422$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.65	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes	1c	1,400$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Yes	20c	1,400$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.82	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	28c	1,377$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.97	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	22c	1,338$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	14c	1,320$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.4	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c2…8acebacked Yes	23c	1,309$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…efb9backed No	73c	1,288$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.91	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes	27c	1,282$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.8	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Yes	21c	1,277$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.95	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	30c	1,250$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.47	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89f…f169backed Yes	22c	1,196$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.57	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	27c	1,177$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.55	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes	27c	1,135$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.97	125	28%35 W · 90 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes	20c	1,131$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	142	16.9%24 W · 118 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	68c	1,100$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a41…a88cbacked No	55c	1,097$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.73	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes	24c	1,053$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.57	131	21.4%28 W · 103 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No	73c	1,049$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.37	75	56%42 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3faa…9ad7backed Yes	2c	1,046$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca2e…88f5backed Yes	21c	1,043$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.31	108	22.2%24 W · 84 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	79c	1,035$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.54	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Yes	19c	1,018$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad90…9a54backed Yes	35c	1,000$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.88	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0826…8738backed No	78c	1,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe084…04c0backed Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…d5a6backed No	69c	999.33$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.38	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0479…6422backed Yes	24c	986$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.48	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Yes	31c	978.79$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.42	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	24c	948.78$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.29	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c60…fcf2backed No	76c	946$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.58	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8949…5e21backed No	77c	914.34$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.2	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccd…d5c2backed Yes	25c	900$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	69c	893.68$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.98	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	32c	892.11$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.48	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes	32c	866.7$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.34	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+151.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	78c	848.37$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.24	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	34c	831.26$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.63	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d3…ce3fbacked Yes	12c	781.23$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.72	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9949…1d0cbacked Yes	31c	768.62$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4297…2b08backed Yes	33c	752.44$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…7758backed No	66c	741.35$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+164.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x708b…1161backed Yes	31c	733.39$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.26	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Yes	31c	700.15$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.87	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed Yes	32c	699.98$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.99	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+4.8wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed No	72c	694.97$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.89	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	32c	629.13$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes	32c	617.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	34c	599.67$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.2	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8808…3401backed Yes	20c	594.63$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bee…5628backed Yes	25c	586.16$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.32	97	16.5%16 W · 81 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b41…30eabacked Yes	26c	579.06$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked No	80c	577.58$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.52	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event