TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe084…04c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille: Sebastian Ofner vs Hugo Gastonbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$333
Midland: Hanna Chang vs Mary Stoianabacked Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.5%+$227.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Hailey Baptiste vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$462
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$440
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$590
Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobollibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$570
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$430
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Clara Tauson vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$440
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$167.2
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Clement Chidekhbacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$456
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$480
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Kick-off Group Abacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$630
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$624
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+185.7%+$650
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$176
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$387
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$224
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$368
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$288
LoL: Joblife vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Abacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$240
LoL: One More Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagebacked 3BL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56.3%+$432
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+224.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Diego Gullsbacked San Diego Gulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$638
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Ontario Reignbacked Ontario Reign · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Torpedobacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$80
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$234
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$192
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$348
Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$144
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$279
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $2.00 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$352
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.