Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Diego State Aztecs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27f343d186debd9e5b393543e7dfcf0008b99eb98abefb888174aa24d530bd88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego State Aztecsof Wyoming Cowboys, San Diego State Aztecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Wyoming Cowboys | 1c | 13,842$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 2c | 9,793$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 11c | 4,551$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 4c | 2,370$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 7c | 2,098$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming Cowboys | 5c | 2,022$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Wyoming Cowboys | 13c | 1,515$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming Cowboys | 12c | 1,218$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…04c0backed Wyoming Cowboys | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 9c | 1,092$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wyoming Cowboys | 9c | 1,091$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 4c | 788.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 13c | 756.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Wyoming Cowboys | 13c | 690$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…943fbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 3c | 577.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Wyoming Cowboys | 4c | 526.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Wyoming Cowboys | 20c | 503.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wyoming Cowboys | 11c | 388$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 16c | 313$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…ea87backed Wyoming Cowboys | 10c | 255.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…303abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wyoming Cowboys | 6c | 242.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wyoming Cowboys | 11c | 233.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Wyoming Cowboys | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…592cbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 13c | 163.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Wyoming Cowboys | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 11c | 137.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Wyoming Cowboys | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 12c | 99.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 14c | 93.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Wyoming Cowboys | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 17c | 90.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Diego State Aztecsthis page
- Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-12.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.