Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Hanna Chang vs Mary Stoiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351fcdda3186756217aced482a6014a24e3c4a27909fb835f6e952e4e046f4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stoianaof Chang, Stoiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chang | 27c | 6,595$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Stoiana | 38c | 3,249$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.57 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chang | 38c | 1,660$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Chang | 47c | 1,458$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.85 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Stoiana | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Chang | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Chang | 23c | 1,173$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.43 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…04c0backed Stoiana | 77c | 1,000$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stoiana | 68c | 447.49$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Stoiana | 56c | 412.48$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stoiana | 80c | 393.89$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Stoiana | 56c | 358.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Chang | 38c | 273.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stoiana | 73c | 261.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Chang | 24c | 205.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Chang | 49c | 178.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chang | 48c | 171.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Chang | 58c | 167$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Stoiana | 74c | 162.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Stoiana | 77c | 155$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…0a1cbacked Stoiana | 67c | 144$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chang | 23c | 141.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Stoiana | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Chang | 22c | 135.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Stoiana | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chang | 26c | 124.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stoiana | 78c | 121$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Stoiana | 73c | 118.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chang | 49c | 115.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Chang | 20c | 105.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stoiana | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Stoiana | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Chang | 20c | 99.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chang | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Chang | 22c | 93.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Chang | 21c | 90.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Stoiana | 76c | 81.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Chang | 20c | 74.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Chang | 50c | 71.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chang | 45c | 66.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Stoiana | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stoiana | 75c | 57.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Chang | 20c | 51.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Stoiana | 77c | 45.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Stoiana | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Stoiana | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Stoiana | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Chang | 39c | 26.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Chang | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…9087backed Stoiana | 61c | 20.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Stoiana | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7a90backed Stoiana | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Stoiana | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Midland: Hanna Chang vs Mary Stoianathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Chang vs StoianaChang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.