TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4d35…7a90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.79
Antalya 3: Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Katie Boulter vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
St. Brieuc: Lucas Poullain vs Titouan Droguetbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47
ATX Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Rio Open: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Les Sables d'Olonne: Sofia Costoulas vs Fiona Ferrobacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
New Delhi: Alastair Gray vs Rei Sakamotobacked Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.3
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.5%+$22.2
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Midland: Hanna Chang vs Mary Stoianabacked Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ella Seidel vs Cristina Bucsabacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Magda Linettebacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linettebacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$207
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+123.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.