TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

New Delhi: Alastair Gray vs Rei Sakamoto

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sakamotoof Gray, Sakamoto
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Gray41c6,503$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.472,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Sakamoto69c1,875$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.257951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Sakamoto34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.599744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Gray23c1,248$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0224229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Gray42c1,179$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.732,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Gray39c945.24$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.982,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Gray22c853.52$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7723126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sakamoto37c811.96$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.961,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Sakamoto60c758.61$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2818663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gray28c572.96$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.398,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Sakamoto35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4322553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gray53c547.83$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.74,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Sakamoto39c531.59$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.5538739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Sakamoto75c496.82$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0428552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sakamoto61c488.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.769350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Gray25c399.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Sakamoto37c377.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8213356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…6b67backed Gray18c323.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sakamoto54c313.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.775748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Gray50c298.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Gray67c296.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Gray52c291.85$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sakamoto78c289.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Sakamoto51c289.6$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6821843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sakamoto67c285$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gray50c268.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.246,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f46…4f2bbacked Gray41c244.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Sakamoto77c234.43$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9246553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Gray27c213.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.226841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Sakamoto77c204$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5820039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Sakamoto55c202.86$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8628762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebd…700ebacked Gray40c200.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Gray23c199.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.952520%5 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sakamoto38c173.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.524,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Sakamoto78c161.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1139872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Sakamoto65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sakamoto48c150.79$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1692548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sakamoto66c139$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sakamoto39c136$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.964,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Sakamoto78c134.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6510267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sakamoto77c130.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.113,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Sakamoto77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8718863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Gray22c127.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.117,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gray30c118.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Gray29c104$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Gray64c101$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.641154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Sakamoto71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2977967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Gray23c99.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9112659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…8c36backed Sakamoto78c92.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.375373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Sakamoto61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.120758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Sakamoto77c88.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4641272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Sakamoto59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.757169%49 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Gray24c84.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010157.4%58 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Sakamoto78c83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2638048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Sakamoto68c83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5618644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5c…d123backed Gray63c79.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508974.2%66 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Sakamoto64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gray33c69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.017,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gray44c65.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.256,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sakamoto78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Gray54c62.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1430254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gray34c61.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.816,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Sakamoto50c57.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Gray43c52.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.652944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c10…5796backed Sakamoto77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…7a90backed Gray57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sakamoto43c48.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Sakamoto38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0530931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Gray48c43.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.832161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Gray25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Sakamoto56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Gray68c33.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310562.9%66 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Sakamoto70c31.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4333055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Sakamoto67c31.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3711148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sakamoto75c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Gray67c29.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Sakamoto55c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0527552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gray42c28.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb722…d5afbacked Gray62c25.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick63cpaid-57.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd212…659fbacked Gray75c25.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc2…757cbacked Sakamoto75c24.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.172060%12 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8280…a6d2backed Gray62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156872.1%49 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Sakamoto77c20.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7858067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d19…e2fdbacked Sakamoto63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf69b…d240backed Sakamoto65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716959.2%100 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf791…8ef9backed Sakamoto77c13.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.092975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.