Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x428aadb8da99873d528fbb711e9579b5d70bf789da5f357a45f1d151ef63d4d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fernandezof Samsonova, Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsonova | 29c | 21,004$6,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,060.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Samsonova | 54c | 17,694$9,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,554.85 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Fernandez | 46c | 17,414$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,414.04 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Samsonova | 54c | 12,124$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.89 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fernandez | 48c | 8,419$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Samsonova | 51c | 7,827$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.75 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fernandez | 42c | 6,151$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.73 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fernandez | 43c | 5,484$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.11 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Samsonova | 43c | 5,338$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.35 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Samsonova | 51c | 5,145$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.25 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Fernandez | 45c | 4,800$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Fernandez | 47c | 4,191$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.23 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Fernandez | 46c | 4,020$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.11 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Samsonova | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Fernandez | 44c | 3,550$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Samsonova | 1c | 3,514$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fernandez | 52c | 3,509$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.76 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Samsonova | 68c | 3,000$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.41 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Samsonova | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.9 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Fernandez | 49c | 2,950$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Samsonova | 52c | 2,638$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Samsonova | 56c | 2,461$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.56 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Samsonova | 53c | 2,277$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Fernandez | 52c | 2,234$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.58 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Samsonova | 56c | 2,146$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Fernandez | 28c | 2,096$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.13 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Samsonova | 2c | 2,085$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Samsonova | 49c | 2,000$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.18 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Samsonova | 49c | 1,747$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.84 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Samsonova | 53c | 1,549$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.47 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Samsonova | 48c | 1,466$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Fernandez | 53c | 1,431$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Fernandez | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Samsonova | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Samsonova | 54c | 1,107$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Samsonova | 52c | 1,091$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Samsonova | 54c | 1,082$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Fernandez | 27c | 1,031$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.03 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Samsonova | 49c | 948.05$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.02 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Samsonova | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fernandez | 51c | 927.94$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fernandez | 44c | 901.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.34 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Fernandez | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Fernandez | 44c | 895.75$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.62 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Samsonova | 59c | 854.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Fernandez | 45c | 844.44$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Samsonova | 35c | 810.81$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Samsonova | 56c | 800$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Fernandez | 45c | 623.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.95 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fernandez | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Fernandez | 76c | 593$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Samsonova | 36c | 564.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fernandez | 48c | 502$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.34 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Fernandez | 23c | 442.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.89 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Fernandez | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Fernandez | 45c | 398.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…132fbacked Samsonova | 60c | 349.66$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Fernandez | 44c | 330$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b9a6backed Fernandez | 46c | 324.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Samsonova | 80c | 313.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Fernandez | 49c | 306.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Fernandez | 45c | 302.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…2aa3backed Samsonova | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Samsonova | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Fernandez | 29c | 280.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Samsonova | 6c | 271.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fernandez | 43c | 257.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Fernandez | 44c | 226.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Samsonova | 59c | 225$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Samsonova | 56c | 220.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Samsonova | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Samsonova | 52c | 212.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Samsonova | 26c | 206.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Fernandez | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Fernandez | 79c | 198.29$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Samsonova | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Samsonova | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Samsonova | 53c | 178.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fernandez | 45c | 173$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Fernandez | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Samsonova | 9c | 168.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fernandez | 67c | 167.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fernandez | 45c | 166.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Samsonova | 55c | 161.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Fernandez | 50c | 160.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Samsonova | 57c | 154.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Samsonova | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Fernandez | 42c | 140.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Samsonova | 31c | 135.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Samsonova | 54c | 135.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Samsonova | 51c | 126.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Fernandez | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fernandez | 53c | 114.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Samsonova | 53c | 113.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Fernandez | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Samsonova | 29c | 100.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Samsonova | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fernandez | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Samsonova | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fernandez | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fernandezthis page
- Samsonova vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Samsonova vs. Fernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)Fernandez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.