TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ella Seidel vs Cristina Bucsa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seidelof Seidel, Bucsa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Seidel78c10,793$8,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.22,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucsa17c8,830$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.542,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Bucsa56c5,068$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.956026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Bucsa13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucsa55c2,622$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.3276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Seidel45c2,224$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.2255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Bucsa32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Seidel44c1,813$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.281,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Seidel42c1,700$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.836350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Seidel44c1,470$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.23036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Seidel43c1,331$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.431,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bucsa28c1,200$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.621,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Bucsa57c1,169$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.082286.4%19 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+50.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Seidel44c1,135$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.0849632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Bucsa9c1,044$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Bucsa58c1,041$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Bucsa56c799.98$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9914940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Bucsa29c704.28$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2426535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Seidel66c677.41$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Bucsa37c648.65$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Seidel60c616.35$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.41,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Seidel75c611.87$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.612,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5336…559fbacked Bucsa59c610.92$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seidel73c602.93$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.017,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucsa58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4a…ee6dbacked Seidel40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f8…ec5fbacked Seidel43c595.58$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Bucsa58c471.2$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27420257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Seidel71c464.07$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.373,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seidel72c451.3$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.278,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Bucsa58c400$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1128552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Bucsa58c384.74$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Seidel41c245.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Seidel44c227.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.518863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Seidel45c210.52$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7914949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Seidel44c204$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.248145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Bucsa29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c4…fe40backed Bucsa55c188.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.481315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Bucsa14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Seidel59c178.11$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.332,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Seidel45c157$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.481,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Seidel68c153.44$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.14864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Seidel72c139.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0317262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Bucsa37c129.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.713727.7%38 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Seidel44c113.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.571,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Bucsa11c112.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3920515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Bucsa56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.62231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seidel71c104.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Seidel43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bucsa33c87.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Bucsa56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Bucsa31c71.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.023574.3%26 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Bucsa20c67.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.546,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…49e9backed Seidel60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeba…7a91backed Bucsa20c65.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.272927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3190…93bbbacked Seidel71c63.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.412955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Bucsa56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7540…9827backed Seidel77c58.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.572774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Seidel43c56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.77,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8483…3ff9backed Bucsa37c54.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Bucsa57c52.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Bucsa33c52.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.024,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Bucsa58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d35…7a90backed Seidel72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Seidel43c49.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.423,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Bucsa61c49.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Seidel44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4574961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…09d6backed Seidel44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.457852.6%41 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bucsa47c42.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Seidel71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucsa38c39.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3661953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Bucsa39c39.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x192f…352bbacked Seidel72c34.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.863669.4%25 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Seidel44c34.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Seidel71c32.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d8…2374backed Bucsa57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13073.3%22 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+32.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85b4…3c44backed Bucsa56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83375.8%25 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Bucsa56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5633241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Seidel68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0624931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Bucsa58c21.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Bucsa57c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9738048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Bucsa57c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.516468.9%113 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Seidel73c14.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8712958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.