TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,188,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,273,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,188,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 538 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked No50c386,731$192,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,110.993250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes53c164,783$86,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,931.643237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed No47c98,070$46,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,092.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c77,850$42,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,626.083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No49c52,688$25,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,817.091353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes51c45,000$22,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,050475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No49c42,663$20,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,904.6411246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c38,195$20,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,494.1614740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes50c32,502$16,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,251.0215947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes52c30,418$15,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,600.85259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes55c27,405$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,404.681346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c25,129$12,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4401,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c24,685$14,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,538.5284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes51c23,918$12,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,722.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No47c22,953$10,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7883250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c20,182$10,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,013.4691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,200475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No48c19,400$9,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3121353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes51c15,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes51c14,675$7,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,188.983959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes52c14,492$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,991.83360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No48c14,471$6,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,875.354639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No49c10,670$5,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,228.35947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes51c10,250$5,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes50c8,332$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,132.671275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No48c8,034$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.161942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No49c8,002$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No49c7,817$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.233641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes51c7,627$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.1113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked Yes51c7,378$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,617.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No48c6,790$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.21650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes52c6,449$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.5244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes51c6,368$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.1633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…658bbacked No48c6,365$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes50c6,061$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.63234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Yes51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.351520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No32c5,411$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.653839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes51c4,706$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.853151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes50c4,194$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.2612955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No47c4,068$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes51c4,018$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.712236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0006858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c3,788$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.8138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes50c3,600$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes49c3,487$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.3743344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No48c3,079$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4781526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3505545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3507143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No48c2,938$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked No47c2,761$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes51c2,700$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3202466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No46c2,604$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes50c2,555$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.54551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes51c2,353$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…2805backed Yes51c2,265$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c2,129$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.0625157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed No49c2,050$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19f5…6092backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No48c1,892$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.072245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9182420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes50c1,746$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8813240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes50c1,692$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.164955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No46c1,635$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ec…240abacked Yes50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes50c1,557$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.52548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524b…49acbacked Yes70c1,500$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.56580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7208345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Yes51c1,500$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes49c1,428$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.285054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No30c1,421$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6241650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No27c1,300$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No29c1,287$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.396950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes51c1,284$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.312420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-60.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c1,203$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.627644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c1,167$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.712,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes50c1,145$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.243956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60d3…e6cabacked Yes53c1,145$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Yes52c1,119$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.161250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x394c…6e99backed Yes53c1,046$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No45c1,023$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.531844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed No47c1,019$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9350%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e37…1ee1backed Yes53c1,010$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0f…bc98backed Yes53c1,002$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.