TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c6,338$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c6,061$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.973234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c4,720$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.571,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c2,402$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c2,159$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.6825157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed Yes4c1,900$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes28c1,557$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.952548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No72c1,380$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.179954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes25c1,280$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.985836.2%21 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes15c1,029$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed No72c1,025$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes23c1,000$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes28c776$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2870%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c620.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.792,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x390b…78ccbacked No73c591$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes27c565.09$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes29c519.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes23c473.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094360.5%26 W · 17 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes17c469$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1812345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…c86fbacked No73c389$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-72.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No73c336.73$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.921978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813135.5%11 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No72c241.64$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6611153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes28c238$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6450%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf27f…0329backed No73c223$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes21c210$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.17143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c205$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes25c158.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked No72c154.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes22c152$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c140.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1727644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No73c136$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.722185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes23c134.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c130$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c129$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1218049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes19c100.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.693821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.695538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4b9…7575backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa036…2318backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes18c95.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5216013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes26c94.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.969054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No73c93.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.151675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…b48bbacked Yes14c92.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No73c91.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9610055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No72c79.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes28c68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.042524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No72c67.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2576…0670backed Yes27c65.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47da…ce18backed Yes28c62.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes28c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9815949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x531a…8681backed Yes21c57.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c52.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6412849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes28c51.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145676.8%43 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87cd…b8f5backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1412146.3%56 W · 65 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21bf…5b91backed Yes29c48.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…6eadbacked Yes28c48.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Yes28c45.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No72c42.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28155.6%45 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…101abacked Yes29c39.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No72c34.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.717060%42 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2211…ed34backed No74c22.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d1…4b62backed No73c22.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f0…5860backed No73c21.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x034c…9d41backed No74c21.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e1…272fbacked No74c21.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa07…deabbacked No72c19.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183d…5814backed No72c18.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d1…b9bebacked No73c18.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb7…2806backed No72c18.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.155100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb769…2f74backed No72c18.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebfa…a293backed No73c17.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4319…10b3backed No73c17.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…9467backed No73c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.