Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf88a2140ac54353c2f51b2ee20de43c72b0d442ee42f0e5cec5900ad0797e7cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,779,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,536,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,779,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0222…8ff7backed No | 38c | 3,440,213$1,319,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319,295.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 63c | 600,559$380,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,361.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 61c | 598,289$364,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,332.68 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 62c | 433,790$268,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,972.64 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 61c | 381,579$231,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,000.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 64c | 309,317$199,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,309.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed No | 36c | 288,409$105,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,219.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 63c | 243,039$153,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,494.03 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 169,230$110,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,758.77 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…c7e3backed Yes | 78c | 128,205$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,205.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 63c | 120,000$75,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,400 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 107,688$67,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,565.63 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Yes | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 64c | 100,000$64,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 36c | 100,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 67c | 93,469$62,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,112.59 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 35c | 90,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 89,436$60,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,908.77 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 35c | 88,941$31,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,129.52 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 62c | 83,940$51,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,017.26 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 61c | 81,076$49,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,300.78 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 32c | 78,157$25,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,364.06 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 74,238$26,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,495.24 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 36c | 73,377$26,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,346.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 36c | 62,200$22,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,548.98 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 65c | 42,077$27,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,726.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 33c | 41,242$13,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,697.53 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 65c | 34,649$22,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,087.98 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 22c | 29,425$6,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.51 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…6a0cbacked No | 33c | 29,390$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 37c | 23,570$8,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,721 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 36c | 23,402$8,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,424.79 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 64c | 22,784$14,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,202.36 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 35c | 21,560$7,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,546 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 66c | 20,108$13,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.81 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 20,071$7,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,225.56 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 33c | 17,155$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,654.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 34c | 17,005$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 62c | 16,945$10,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.65 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…e9d1backed Yes | 63c | 16,651$10,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.44 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 67c | 16,321$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.16 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 33c | 15,091$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.54 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 63c | 15,079$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 62c | 14,677$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 32c | 13,052$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220.07 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 32c | 11,412$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 61c | 11,200$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.02 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 64c | 11,078$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 75c | 10,781$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.25 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 64c | 10,120$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.19 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 77c | 10,058$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 65c | 9,817$6,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 65c | 8,988$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.62 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 8,426$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.82 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 8,225$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.31 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Yes | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 62c | 7,988$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Yes | 62c | 7,953$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.31 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…181cbacked Yes | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 63c | 7,375$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.75 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Yes | 63c | 7,078$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 78c | 6,467$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed No | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…7783backed No | 36c | 6,190$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…e0dcbacked Yes | 64c | 6,120$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 36c | 6,069$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 64c | 6,060$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.76 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 34c | 5,794$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.94 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes | 65c | 5,747$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.56 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 63c | 5,457$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 63c | 5,405$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 31c | 5,193$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.68 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Yes | 79c | 5,175$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,832$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 63c | 4,583$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 4,505$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.45 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 64c | 4,441$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.88 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 64c | 4,335$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.45 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Yes | 62c | 4,260$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.