Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809bb437e92174d17b38d8b1a5089ca598e191add6f5c697a9c2677f0684882b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 22c | 229,921$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 131,134$102,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,849.57 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 21,795$17,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.56 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 9,158$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 79c | 8,213$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.82 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 79c | 8,000$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 79c | 5,306$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.24 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 4,470$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.22 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 4,111$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 20c | 3,348$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,368$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 2,291$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.27 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 20c | 2,284$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.85 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 2,028$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.29 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 1,300$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.98 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 20c | 1,125$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 938.84$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 833$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 21c | 726.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…004bbacked Yes | 19c | 631.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked No | 80c | 618.75$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 19c | 572$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 80c | 561.73$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…8b06backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 18c | 545.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 21c | 511.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 19c | 447.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…5227backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 12c | 422.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 401.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 382.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…12f7backed Yes | 18c | 377.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 79c | 369.85$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 18c | 330$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes | 16c | 328.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 17c | 301.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 20c | 288.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 18c | 285.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Yes | 20c | 270.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 10c | 258.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 21c | 255.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes | 18c | 223.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 20c | 215$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 19c | 203.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 20c | 184.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…1534backed Yes | 20c | 181$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 16c | 178.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 164.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…82aabacked Yes | 19c | 143$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 136.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 135.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 16c | 135.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…b924backed Yes | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 131.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…2833backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 20c | 122.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.