TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes13c36,337$4,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.412,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0222…8ff7backed Yes16c20,322$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes17c18,496$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.3228242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Yes17c17,652$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.842050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c14,323$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.156,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes14c13,603$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.9524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes14c10,719$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes15c5,221$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.0415748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes17c4,118$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c4,050$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes17c2,944$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c2,730$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9826319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes9c2,281$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.092,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c2,252$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.021,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c2,212$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.44,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1f…4965backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes15c1,932$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.837536%27 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes15c1,896$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3413939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes10c1,695$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.52133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes17c1,617$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2215030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes17c1,563$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes14c1,500$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.881,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c1,487$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.961,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed Yes16c1,356$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.98825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes18c1,344$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes14c1,121$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4912324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes7c924.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.644938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes7c899.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes3c774.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0121049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes13c758.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes18c729.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4319441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes10c707.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.444216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14df…30b2backed Yes17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes9c691.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes17c664.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.972948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes9c662.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fd…f9e0backed Yes17c658$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked Yes17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c596.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.051,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes16c588.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.193537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…c25bbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4d…0839backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8528824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes11c452.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes14c441.75$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes18c438.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b9c…2798backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes17c411.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0f…5aabbacked Yes5c409.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+95.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes17c408.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.56527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes17c408.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick37cpaid+68.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…a0b7backed Yes17c382.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes10c377$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes17c342.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.232825%7 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes6c338.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes15c322.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes16c311$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7620425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes15c301.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.895058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+70.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes15c269.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.47830.8%24 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes18c269$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.137138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x799c…2f65backed Yes16c238.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes7c235.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d4…7669backed Yes18c215.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes7c210$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411637.1%43 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes13c187.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.711618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes11c180.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6e…8024backed Yes14c179.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes14c173.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes16c157.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213630.6%11 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Yes14c151.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes16c147.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.564141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Yes15c141.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes16c132.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2118929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.17439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes15c128.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2733124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf607…7ca0backed Yes9c125.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a6…92bcbacked Yes16c121.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.