TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,767 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No19c75,774$14,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5441127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes80c37,978$30,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,635.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No18c31,659$5,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,747.422653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No18c24,450$4,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400.773135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes78c17,766$13,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.0540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No33c16,653$5,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,495.644658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No19c15,963$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.945347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes67c14,632$9,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,828.5611153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No18c13,479$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.213046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No20c10,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.996323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No19c9,840$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.63345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No17c8,512$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4476437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked No19c7,595$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No19c7,009$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.776429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No17c7,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1901154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No20c5,980$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1835641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No19c5,048$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.272339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes79c4,712$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.5321058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c4,294$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No5c4,089$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.787226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes80c4,069$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.847656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No15c3,824$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.8216838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No22c3,797$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.2496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No18c3,660$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.82339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes79c3,456$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No1c3,407$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.120431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No23c3,292$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.161323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No18c3,171$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.93548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.712240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No20c2,873$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No21c2,803$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.459631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No18c2,717$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.846033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No20c2,478$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No32c2,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No19c2,240$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.38941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No20c2,106$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.171020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7005158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No20c1,655$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.08933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.898052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed No20c1,346$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.224831.3%15 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes74c1,261$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.121872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes66c1,211$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.713348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed No19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No31c991.38$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes70c897.07$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0926241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.52666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No22c801.76$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes80c793.75$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.753961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes77c777$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes66c777$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.183167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes80c752.1$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No27c746.67$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4411964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes77c646.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.111040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No23c644$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No18c640$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.22343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed No19c630.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes79c550$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No19c527.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No9c511.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes79c506.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.335459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1458552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c53…e48fbacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x941e…a442backed Yes79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x826c…1468backed No21c487.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No21c479.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.061822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x891d…742cbacked No21c467.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x803f…d466backed Yes80c454.46$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No17c450$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1502…bba5backed No21c432.16$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes72c420$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x531a…0443backed No21c413.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No20c400.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes77c400$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9410757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc377…c730backed Yes77c389.32$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes78c370.6$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No18c355.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.924136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5043…84b5backed No21c345.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No22c340$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No13c338.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked No21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5128556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No19c285.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No18c281.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked No19c278.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Yes67c271$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No21c252$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.483740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Yes80c250.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.512048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.