Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71f132a6ee28ff0e8c702b06613d59bad6f829c66b86ce35f9044fd89311cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 27c | 10,974$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 6,294$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.88 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 4,384$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.19 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 4,206$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 3,492$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 2,199$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.49 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 17c | 1,825$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,058$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 2c | 731.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 656.54$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 631.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 13c | 390$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…97ebbacked Yes | 14c | 364.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Yes | 14c | 353.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 13c | 297.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 15c | 297$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 276.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 78c | 266.74$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 13c | 231.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 15c | 190.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 171.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Yes | 12c | 164.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 149.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 14c | 149$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 15c | 129.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…3cf9backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Yes | 15c | 105.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 14c | 100.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 25c | 82.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Yes | 15c | 77.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 76c | 20.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.